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ARTIFICIAL REGIONS OF SUCCESS IN RUSSIA-CHINA COOPERATION : A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEPENDENCY

초록/요약

This thesis develops and applies the original concept of the Artificial Region of Success (ARS) to examine structural dependence in Russian–Chinese cross-border infrastructure projects. The ARS framework, introduced specifically for this research, conceptualizes regions that are formally presented as representations of successful cooperation but in practice function under external control, weak domestic integration, and institutional asymmetry. Through four case studies—Yamal LNG, Nizhneleninskoye–Tongjiang Railway Bridge, Blagoveshchensk–Heihe Road Bridge, and Amur Gas Chemical Complex—the thesis traces how variations in financial structure, governance logic, and local economic embedding determine the degree of structural dependency. The research reveals that projects falling under ARS logic tend to prioritize visibility over substance, rely heavily on foreign capital and technology, and bypass domestic innovation systems. Conversely, hybrid and non-ARS cases demonstrate that institutional autonomy and regional embedding can mitigate dependency and foster sustainable integration. By combining policy analysis, institutional mapping, and field-based evidence, the study not only introduces a new analytical tool for evaluating transnational infrastructure but also identifies the policy gaps that allow representational projects to overshadow development-oriented cooperation. The ARS concept provides a novel lens for understanding the geopolitical and economic consequences of asymmetric partnerships and offers guidance for designing more autonomous and resilient regional development strategies.

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목차

Chapter 1. Introduction and Research Design 1
1.1 Introduction: From Infrastructural Ambition to Structural Dependency 1
1.2 Relevance and Research Contribution 2
1.3 Research Questions and hypotheses 4
1.4 Research Tasks 5
1.5 Literature Review 7
1.6 Limitations and Assumptions 10
1.7. Methodology 12
1.7.1 Data Collection Strategy 12
1.7.2 Analytical Framework 14
1.7.3 Methodological Justification 15
1.7.4 Advantages and Disadvantages of the Methodology 16
1.8 Chapters Overview 16
Chapter 2. Strategic and Structural Contexts of the Russia–China Relationship 18
2.1 Strategic Convergence Between Russia and China: From Realist Calculations to Structural Dependence 20
2.2 BRICS as a Strategic Bloc: Platform of Multipolarity or Fragmented Alignment 27
2.3 Geoeconomic and Geopolitical Dimensions of the Russia–China Relationship 33
2.4 Analytical Positioning: Planes of Interaction, Structural Constraints, and the Logic of Development Failure 39
2.5 Conclusion 41
Chapter 3. Artificial Regions of Success: Conceptualization and Applied Analysis 42
3.1 Artificial Region of Success (ARS): Analytical Justification and Conceptual Premise 44
3.2 Blagoveshchensk–Heihe Road Bridge: A Non-ARC Case 49
3.2.1 ARS Criteria Assessment 50
3.2.2 Expectation–Outcome Comparison 56
3.2.3 Factors Behind Relative Success 58
3.3 Amur Gas Chemical Complex (AGCC): A Hybrid Case 60
3.3.1 ARS Criteria Assessment 61
3.3.2 Expectation–Outcome Comparison 67
3.3.3 Factors Behind Mixed Results 69
3.4 Analytical Discussion: Shared Logics, Diverging Paths, and the Road to ARS 71
3.5 Conclusion 76
Chapter 4. From Development Goals to Dependency Patterns: Explaining the Structural Logic of ARS 77
4.1 Nizhneleninskoye–Tongjiang Railway Bridge 78
4.1.1 ARS Criteria Assessment 80
4.1.2 Expectation–Outcome Gap 84
4.2 Yamal Liquefied Natural Gas (Yamal LNG) 88
4.2.1 ARS Criteria Assessment 89
4.2.2 Expectation–Outcome Gap 96
4.3 The Expectation–Outcome Gap as a Structural Pattern: Revealing the Unfulfilled Goal of Economic Autonomy 99
4.4 Contributing Factors: External and Internal 100
4.4.1 External Factors 101
4.4.2 Internal Factors 107
4.5 Conclusion 113
Chapter 5. Conclusion 115
List of References 128

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