FAHP MODEL AS A MULTICRITERIA DECISION-MAKING APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES PLANNING IN EGYPT
- 주제(키워드) EGYPT , Energy , Renewable Energy , MCDM , AHP , Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process , FAHP , Sustainable Development
- 발행기관 아주대학교
- 지도교수 Suduk Kim
- 발행년도 2018
- 학위수여년월 2019. 2
- 학위명 석사
- 학과 국제대학원 융합에너지학과
- 실제URI http://www.dcollection.net/handler/ajou/000000028228
- 본문언어 영어
- 저작권 아주대학교 논문은 저작권에 의해 보호받습니다.
초록/요약
In an economy burdened by the costs of increasingly scarce oil and natural gas, and a planet already feeling the impact of fossil fuel driven climate change, renewable energy is undoubtedly our future. Due to global warming and the depletion of fossil fuels, the concern in climate change issues has increased rapidly. This immediately heightened the importance of energy security and efficiency to achieve sustainable development and all-inclusive growth. Sustainable development has indeed become one of the most popular terms in the last few decades. Energy is a crucial component of sustainable development. It is an essential factor in driving production, achieving stability and economic growth, creating jobs, improving living standards and reducing poverty. Egypt was a net exporter of oil and gas. Since 2008, however, Egypt has transformed from a net exporter to a net importer because of the rising demand and the declining production. In addition to the shortage in electricity supply, from 2010 till 2014 Egypt could not meet national energy demand. Therefore, alternative energy sources were inevitable. Following the global trend to use renewable energy, Egypt is going further for the transition to a clean energy. Multi-criteria Decision-making (MCDM) process such as AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process) are used to solve many decision-making problems. After thoroughly examining the country‘s potential of renewable energy sources, a FAHP model consists of goals, criteria, sub-criteria, and alternatives is developed to prioritize the renewable energy sources in Egypt. This methodology is expected to help policymakers to identify what is the most suitable renewable energy source that could contribute to Egypt's sustainable development strategy.
more목차
Abstract i
TABLE OF CONTENTS ii
List of Figures iv
List of Tables v
List of Abbreviations vi
CHAPTER 1 Introduction
1. 1 Background 1
1. 2 Research Problem 4
1. 3 Research Objective 4
1. 4 Research Question 5
1. 5 Structure of the Thesis 5
CHAPTER 2 Egypt’s Energy Sources and Renewable Energy
2. 1 Total Primary Energy Supply 8
2. 2 Total Final Consumption 8
2. 3 Conventional Energy Sources 9
2. 4 New and Renewable Energy Sources in Egypt 11
CHAPTER 3 Literature Review
3. 1 Multi-Criteria Decision-Making using AHP and FAHP 17
3.1.1 Applications of AHP 17
3.1.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 18
3.1.3 Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) 20
3.1.4 AHP versus FAHP 27
3. 2 RE Criteria/ Sub-criteria for Sustainable Energy Development 28
3.2.1 Sustainable Development Criteria 28
3.2.2 Sub-criteria for Renewable Energy Sources 30
CHAPTER 4 Methodology
4. 1 Procedure for MCDM Model 31
4. 2 Selected Sub-Criteria Benchmark 32
4. 3 Hierarchical Structure Construction 33
4. 4 Decision-Making Subject-Matter Expert (SME) 34
4. 5 Individual Judgment to FAHP Model 35
4.5.1 Assigning Priorities to the Main Criteria 37
4.5.2 Assigning Priorities to the Sub-Criteria 40
4.5.3 Assigning Priorities to the Alternatives 41
4. 6 Aggregation of Result 42
4. 7 Comparison between FAHP and AHP 44
4. 8 Comparison of Groups Result (Government/ Private) 45
CHAPTER 5 Conclusion and Recommendation
5.1 Conclusion 48
5.2 Recommendations 50
References 51
Appendixes 55
