건물표적의 피해평가 방법에 대한 비교분석
A Comparative Analysis of Damage Estimation Methodologies on Building Targets
초록/요약
This paper studies the problem of methodologies for damage estimation or assessment on building targets during fire weapon systems attack. Damage estimation is very important information for next phase military operation. In order to perform next phase operation the military should estimate the damage of targets which are composed of soldiers and weapons, and the military facilities. So many efforts were concentrated for developing estimation methodologies. The method used herein is a comparative analysis, between single sortie probability of damage(SSPD) and expected fractional damage(EFD). In order to estimate damage of target, we need damage criteria, which are defined by target types as men, weapons and facilities. And damage estimation is inflicted by target vulnerability, weapon lethality and delivery accuracy, etc. In this way we can calculate fractional damage or probability of damage. And there are some differences in method and result between the way of consideration the building target as unitary targets or area of targets. So this paper tried general damage estimation methodologies to the building targets and comparatively analyzed 2 ways of methodologies. The 2 ways are single sortie probability of damage(SSPD) which is the methodology of single weapons against unitary targets, and expected fractional damage(EFD) which is the methodology of single weapons directed against on area of targets. This paper comparatively analyzed the estimation of damage results(EFD & SSPD) by the variance of mean area of effects for buildings() and delivery accuracy(CEP : Circular Error Probable). And analyzed the results SSPD and EFD by the variance of hight of the buildings and the angle of impact as a condition between weapon and target. At the conclusion the paper compared the results(SSPD & EFD and required munition) of bigger building target than the and smaller. The obtained result is follows, expected fractional damage(EFD) is more suitable than single sortie probability of damage(SSPD) on building targets damage estimation. The proposed EFD methodology enables not only the military planners and weapon developers to do a better solution, but also to do force planning and weapon development by simulation based acquisition. As a result this dissertation suggested more correct methodology for estimation of building target damage and the methodology used for more correctly for military operation in NCOE, force planning and simulation based acquisition(SBA).
more목차
제1장 연구개요 1
제1절 연구 배경 및 목적 1
제1항 연구배경 1
제2항 연구목적 2
제2절 연구 범위 및 방법과 기여도 4
제1항 연구범위 4
제2항 연구방법 4
제3항 기여도 6
제2장 피해평가 방법 연구 8
제1절 표적 유형별 피해평가 기준 12
제2절 표적 취약성과 무기체계 치사성 15
제3절 탄착 정확도 17
제4절 파괴확률 27
제5절 단일무기에 의한 점표적 피해평가 30
제6절 단일무기에 의한 면적표적 피해평가 33
제3장 건물표적에 대한 피해평가 방법 36
제1절 건물표적 피해평가를 위한 정확도 36
제2절 건물표적의 취약성 38
제3절 단발파괴확률(SSPD) 42
제1항 탄착 정확도 42
제2항 표적 취약성과 무기체계 치사성 45
제3항 피해평가 48
제4절 유효파괴확률(EFD) 51
제1항 탄착 정확도 51
제2항 표적 취약성과 무기체계 치사성 54
제3항 피해평가 56
제4장 건물표적에 대한 피해평가 방법 비교분석 64
제1절 피해평가 방법의 비교 64
제2절 가정 및 시나리오 68
제3절 표적피해평가 결과 분석 70
제4절 건물표적에 적용성 비교분석 75
제1항 건물표적 고도 변화에 대한 피해평가 비교분석 75
제2항 탄착각 변화에 대한 피해평가 비교분석 77
제5절 탄약 소요산정 비교분석 81
제1항 소요산정 조건 81
제2항 탄약 소요산정 방법 83
제3항 탄약 소요산정 결과 84
제6절 적합성 분석 결과 86
제5장 결론 89
참고문헌 91
Abstract 93
