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AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC IMPACT OF RENEWABLE INTEGRATION : CASE STUDY LICHINGA SOLAR POWER PLANT

초록/요약

Mozambique is located in Southern Africa and is one of the African countries rich in energy resources such as coal, gas reserves, renewable resources (hydraulic, solar, wind and geothermal). The energy structure of Mozambique is based on the traditional form, the regulated monopoly, introducing a single buyer in the energy sector called Electricidade de Moçambique (EDM), which is also vertically integrated throughout the generation, transmission, distribution and retail value chain. The main objective in the energy sector is to electrify all provinces by 2030, decarbonizing energy production by 20% using available renewable energies and optimizing energy consumption on both the demand and supply sides. However, domestic expansion of new renewable energy faces the lack of clarity in policies and regulations and the lack of project financing due to the high investment cost. Despite the low level of greenhouse gas emissions, Mozambique remains the continent most susceptible to climate change, constituting a major challenge for Africa's success in the energy sector. Invading cyclones and heavy rains have contributed to the destruction of infrastructure, facing exponential collateral damage, posing threats to the structure of the economy, investment, and basic services such as public health, water, and agriculture, also, threats to undo the development, compromising the slide into poverty, and diminishing the expectation of materializing the country's annual development planning. Therefore, with all the events that take place in the country, the government is betting on renewable integration to contribute to clean energy production. From this perspective, the main objective of this study is the economic analysis of solar energy in Mozambique specifically in the Lichinga power plant, also focusing on the trend of evolution price of photovoltaic energy, the levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of generating solar energy and the main challenges that Mozambique faces over these years to fit in the energy transition

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목차

Chapter 1: GENERAL INTRODUCTION 1
1.1. Context 1
1.2. Justification of study 2
1.3. Objective 2
1.4. Methodology 3
1.5. Limitation 3
Chapter 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 4
2.1. Mozambique energy system 4
2.2. Policy and Legislation 5
2.3. Demand forecasting 6
2.4. Mozambique Electrical Situation 7
2.5. Technical challenges of renewable integration 12
2.6. Solar photovoltaic Theory 14
2.7. Integration of renewable energies in Mozambique energy market 16
Chapter 3: METHODOLOGY 22
3.1. Introduction 22
3.2. Data assumptions 22
3.2. Site selected overview 23
3.3. Energy Radiation and irradiance in Mozambique 25
3.4. Solar power generation analyses 26
Chapter 4: SIMULATION RESULTS AND TABLES 34
4.1 Load Profile forecast 34
4.2 Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) 35
4.2.1. First Scenario 36
4.2.2. Second Scenario 37
4.2.3. Third Scenario 38
Chapter 5. : RESULTS ANALYSIS 40
5.1. Introduction 40
5.2. Parameters analysis 40
5.2.1. PV system analysis 40
5.2.2. Cash flow analysis 40
5.2.3. LCOE and LPOE 41
Chapter 6. :CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 45
6.1. Conclusion 45
6.2. Economic analysis 45
6.3. Recommendation 46
Chapter 7. : REFERENCES 48

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