The Economic and Environmental Impact of Introducing Hybrid Vehicles in Palestine
- 주제(키워드) Hybrid Vehicles , Prediction Model , Environmental Impacts , CO2 emission , CO2 reduction , Air Pollutants , Transportation Sector , Palestine , Modeling
- 주제(DDC) 333.79
- 발행기관 아주대학교
- 지도교수 YongHun Jung
- 발행년도 2022
- 학위수여년월 2022. 2
- 학위명 석사
- 학과 국제대학원 융합에너지학과
- 실제URI http://www.dcollection.net/handler/ajou/000000031490
- 본문언어 영어
- 저작권 아주대학교 논문은 저작권에 의해 보호받습니다.
초록/요약
Over the past two decades, the sustainability of transport system has been highlighting as critical component in addressing the environmental challenges such as climate change and GHG emissions. Globally transportation sector is the main contributors to this environmental problem. As a result, the impacts of new vehicle technologies are assessed as the first step towards a long-term future policy for the transport sector. In Palestine, it is difficult to establish future goals or plans due to lacks of data for the transportation sector and lack of research that addresses new technology (such as HEVs) and the long-term impacts for this technology. However, this study will examine and explore the Palestinian transportation sector and the economical, energy and environmental impact of introducing HEVs into transportation sector, in addition to their implications for addressing global climate change and greenhouse gas emissions. Key scenarios will be modeled and simulated, such as the scenario for the introduction the HEVs in the transport sector, and these models will be compared to the baseline scenario (without introducing of HEVs in transport sector). The modeling and simulation of the scenarios will be analyzed by using EVIEWS to perform this analysis. In addition to an environmental and Economical Evaluation for the future impacts on transportation sector, and analysis the impact of HEVs. I will then analyze and compare and estimate current and, future (2020, 2030) GHG emission. This study contributes a better understanding of the conditions at play supporting transition policies for potential transport technology - HEVs. The diffusion of HEVs, like other transformative technologies, is an outcome of socio-technical, economic, and political factors. The analysis advances understanding the impact of HEVs in Palestinian transportation sector and to assist policies makers to support alternative to IEC vehicles and promote their use, through subsidies and tax incentives, in addition, the implications for addressing GHG and climate change and how it helps to achieve the NDC target for GHG reduction.
more목차
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Research Motivation 1
1.2 Research Background 2
1.3 Problem Statement 2
1.4 Research Scope and objectives 4
1.5 Research questions 5
1.6 Research Process 5
Chapter 2 Literature review 7
2.1 Forecasting the Vehicles Number in Indonesia by Using (ARIMA) 7
2.2 Environmental and Energy Implications of HEV and EV in China 9
2.3 HEVs for Sustainable Transport in Canada 11
2.4 Environmental Impact of Hybrid Vehicle in Palestine 13
2.5 Electric vehicle 15
2.6 GHG emission on Palestine: NDC Review 21
Chapter 3 Model and Data 23
3.1 ARIMA Model 23
3.2 Data 27
Chapter 4 Result 49
4.1 Prediction Model to forecast Vehicles number 49
4.2 Prediction the number of vehicles Independence scenario 50
4.3 Prediction number of vehicles in status Quo scenario 58
Chapter 5 Conclusion and Discussion 67
5.1 Independence scenario 67
5.2 Status Quo scenario 68
5.3 Summary 69
References 70
