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IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL EXPORT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MYANMAR: CASE OF PULSES AND MAIZE

초록/요약

The effort of this study is to examine the impact of agricultural export on economic growth in Myanmar. This study employs an Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model by using annually data set of five endogenous variables and one exogenous variable from 1995 to 2014. The data using in this study were available from United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), World development indicators (WDI) and Myanmar Statistical Information Service (MMSIS). This study uses quantitative methods. Overall, we find that agricultural export in Myanmar is significantly negatively related to GDP. It is possible that as income grows, Myanmar tends to import pulses more instead of producing it locally. This is not consistent with a lot of literature, however Myanmar maybe hinging on the theory of comparative advantage- that is building a comparative advantage in other exports whiles import in pulses. The export sector need to improve capacity, and be able to actively manage the production so as to quickly adjust to take advantage of real depreciation of the domestic currency.

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목차

CHAPTERⅠ 1
1.1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM 3
1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 4
1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS 4
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESES 4
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 4
1.7 STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS 5
CHAPTER II 6
LITERATURE REVIEW 6
CHAPTER III 9
DATA AND METHODOLOGY 9
3.1 Nature and Source of Data 9
3.2. Description of Variables 9
3.3 Methodology 11
3.3.1 The Long-Run Gross Domestic Product Equation 12
3.4. Econometric Model 12
CHAPTER IV 14
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 14
CHAPTER V 22
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 22
5.1. Conclusion 22
5.2. Recommendation 23
REFERENCES 25
APPENDIX 29

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